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Cortes vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Garcia J.
90' Event
Vazquez J.

AI Match Summary

Cortes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cortes
15%
Draws
73%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cortes have won more games recently than Txantrea.
  • Txantrea are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cortes Clean Sheet 16%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Txantrea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cortes
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Txantrea
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cortes
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Txantrea
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Txantrea
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Txantrea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 19 / 100
Txantrea 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Txantrea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Txantrea conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cortes scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Txantrea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Txantrea
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

Txantrea

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)