Sport Picks
Corticella vs Forli FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 
Match Events
45'
45'
Embalo B.
45'
45'
Embalo B.
50'
50'
Ribello F.
AI Match Summary
Forli FC in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forli FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forli FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Forli FC lately — more wins on the board than Corticella.
- Model gives Forli FC a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Corticella Clean Sheet 22%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Corticella | Forli FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Forli FC
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Corticella
5:0
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Forli FC
4:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Corticella
1:3
Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Forli FC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Corticella Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Forli FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Macri D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sbardella L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Corticella 10 / 100
Forli FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Corticella Forli FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forli FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Forli FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Corticella scored in 52% of their last 31 games.
Corticella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Forli FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Corticella
(Home) 18 May
Corticella
0 : 2 Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3 Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1 Corticella
Page 1 of 7
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2 Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3 Prato
06 Apr
Corticella
0 : 4 Lentigione
23 Mar
Corticella
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 4
Forli FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0 Forli FC
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1 Forli FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forli FC | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 75:24 | 84 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 65:27 | 74 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 48:27 | 65 |
| 4 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Pistoiese | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:23 | 61 |
| 6 | Imolese | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 52:44 | 53 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 48:40 | 47 |
| 8 | Piacenza | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 9 | Prato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:38 | 42 |
| 10 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 32:43 | 42 |
| 11 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:32 | 41 |
| 12 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Corticella | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37:65 | 36 |
| 15 | Sammaurese | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 27:37 | 31 |
| 16 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21:46 | 26 |
| 17 | Zenith Prato | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 36:51 | 23 |
| 18 | United Riccione | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22:69 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)
