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Corticella vs Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pereira L.
41' Event
Di Stefano D.
44' Event
Pereira L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Corticella and Prato finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Corticella
6%
Draws
90%
Prato
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Corticella haven't matched Prato's recent run of results.
  • Prato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Corticella Clean Sheet 21%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corticella Prato
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Prato
0:3
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Corticella
3:0
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Prato
2:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Corticella
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Prato
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corticella Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Di Stefano D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corticella 10 / 100
Prato 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corticella Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Corticella scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Prato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Corticella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Prato
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corticella

(Home)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
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Prato

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Prato
1 : 0
Grosseto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)