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Corum FK vs Hatayspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Corum Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corum FK play Hatayspor in the 1. Lig. Corum FK are favorites here. Recently, Corum FK averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Hatayspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Corum FK won 2, Hatayspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Corum FK and 1.06 for Hatayspor. This points to a Corum FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Corum FK
15%
Draws
11%
Hatayspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corum FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Corum FK picked up more points recently compared to Hatayspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Corum FK Clean Sheet 22%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corum FK Hatayspor
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.61 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 1. Lig
Corum FK vs Hatayspor
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Corum FK
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corum FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Yazgan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fredy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaadaev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corum FK 71 / 100
Hatayspor 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corum FK Hatayspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corum FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Corum FK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Corum FK attacking → ← attacking Hatayspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corum FK scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Hatayspor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Corum FK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hatayspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 11
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54