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Corumbaense vs Bataguassu

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Corumbaense and Bataguassu finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Corumbaense
20%
Draws
29%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bataguassu come out ahead of Corumbaense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Corumbaense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 20%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Bataguassu
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.2 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Bataguassu
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 49 / 100
Bataguassu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Corumbaense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bataguassu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Corumbaense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS Bataguassu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corumbaense

(Home)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
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Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)