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Corumbaense vs Ponta Pora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Corumbaense Logo

Corumbaense

2 - 1
FT
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Corumbaense and Ponta Pora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corumbaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Corumbaense
15%
Draws
26%
Ponta Pora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corumbaense come out ahead of Ponta Pora on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Corumbaense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 17%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Ponta Pora
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 10 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.23 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Ponta Pora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 84 / 100
Ponta Pora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Ponta Pora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corumbaense's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ponta Pora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Corumbaense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Corumbaense

(Home)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 7

Ponta Pora

(Away)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)