Sport Picks

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Coruripe vs Alianca

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estadio Gerson Amaral, Coruripe
Wed, Jan 28, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Alagoas. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Coruripe at 1.13 goals for, 1.5 against; Alianca at 0.38 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Coruripe have won 2 to Alianca's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.94) back Coruripe to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Coruripe
17%
Draws
70%
Alianca
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coruripe come out ahead of Alianca on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alianca taking it.
  • Coruripe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianca, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 20%
Alianca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coruripe Alianca
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs Alianca
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Alianca vs Coruripe
1:2
Jan 28, 2023 Alagoano
Coruripe vs Alianca
2:1
May 5, 2021 Alagoano
Coruripe vs Alianca
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coruripe 16 / 100
Alianca 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coruripe Alianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianca conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Coruripe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Coruripe scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coruripe VS Alianca
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coruripe

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

Alianca

(Away)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA430111:39
2CRB42117:47
3Coruripe42116:77
4Cruzeiro Arapiraca40314:73
5Dimensao Capela40133:101
6Alianca00000:00
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA541010:113
2Clube Sociedade Esportiva541010:213
3Zumbi52128:97
4Murici52037:56
5SC Penedense51133:54
6Miguelense50052:180
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)