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Corwen vs Flint Town

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 18, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corwen host Flint Town in the Cymru North 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Corwen at 1.05 goals for, 2.1 against; Flint Town at 1.55 for, 1.58 against. Past meetings favor Flint Town slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.24) point toward Flint Town. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Corwen
30%
Draws
47%
Flint Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flint Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Flint Town have won more games recently than Corwen.
  • Corwen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Corwen Clean Sheet 19%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corwen Flint Town
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.05 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2020 Cymru North
Corwen vs Flint Town
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Cymru North
Flint Town vs Corwen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corwen 49 / 100
Flint Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corwen Flint Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corwen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flint Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Corwen found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Flint Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flint Town
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corwen

(Home)
12 Jul
Buckley
2 : 2
Corwen
24 Jun
Corwen
0 : 1
Mold Alexandra
21 Sept
Corwen
0 : 1
Llay Welfare
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4
Bow Street
06 Mar
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Corwen
Page 1 of 4

Flint Town

(Away)
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1
Flint Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prestatyn 26 22 2 2 84:19 68
2 Flint Town 24 16 4 4 61:24 52
3 Colwyn Bay 25 15 5 5 47:30 50
4 Guilsfield 22 14 4 4 47:27 46
5 Bangor City 23 11 7 5 29:26 40
6 Llanrhaeadr 23 11 3 9 41:38 36
7 Conwy Borough 24 10 6 8 45:45 36
8 Penrhyncoch 25 11 3 11 31:35 36
9 Rhyl 25 11 2 12 45:38 35
10 Gresford 24 8 5 11 37:38 29
11 Llandudno FC 23 8 4 11 35:38 28
12 Ruthin Town 25 7 7 11 32:40 28
13 Buckley 21 7 3 11 25:45 24
14 Llangefni 26 5 7 14 23:49 22
15 Porthmadog 24 4 6 14 28:47 18
16 Corwen 23 3 5 15 26:55 14
17 Llanfair United 23 2 3 18 26:68 9
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2020/2021 (Main)