Sport Picks
Corwen vs Llay Welfare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Llay Welfare in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llay Welfare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Corwen haven't matched Llay Welfare's recent run of results.
- Llay Welfare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Llay Welfare arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Llay Welfare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Corwen Clean Sheet 20%
Llay Welfare Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Corwen | Llay Welfare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 27 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.71 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Corwen vs Llay Welfare
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Corwen 10 / 100
Llay Welfare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Corwen Llay Welfare
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llay Welfare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llay Welfare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Corwen scored in 65% of their last 20 games.
Llay Welfare's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Corwen VS Llay Welfare
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Corwen
(Home) 12 Jul
Buckley
2 : 2 Corwen
24 Jun
Corwen
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
21 Sept
Corwen
0 : 1 Llay Welfare
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4 Bow Street
06 Mar
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Corwen
Page 1 of 4
24 Jun
Corwen
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
21 Sept
Corwen
0 : 1 Llay Welfare
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4 Bow Street
01 Feb
Corwen
1 : 1 Bangor City
25 Jan
Corwen
1 : 1 Buckley
Page 1 of 3
Llay Welfare
(Away) 22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
22 Mar
Caersws FC
3 : 2 Llay Welfare
11 Mar
Penrhyncoch
1 : 0 Llay Welfare
08 Mar
Ruthin Town
3 : 1 Llay Welfare
25 Jan
Mold Alexandra
4 : 1 Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
