Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Mazzocchi S.
40'
40'
Ferrara V.
44'
44'
Leonetti V.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cosenza have won more games recently than Casarano.
- Casarano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Cosenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Casarano, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cosenza | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Casarano vs Cosenza
0:0
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cosenza vs Casarano
1:5
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Cosenza
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Casarano
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cosenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Leonetti V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Versienti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cosenza 26 / 100
Casarano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cosenza Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cosenza scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Cosenza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cosenza VS Casarano
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cosenza
(Home) 26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0 Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1 Cosenza
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Trapani
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1 Cosenza
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0 Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Trapani
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Foggia
22 Mar
Cosenza
3 : 1 Latina
Page 1 of 4
Casarano
(Away) 20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
Page 1 of 7
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4 Casarano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
