Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Mazzocchi S.
40'
40'
Ferrara V.
44'
44'
Leonetti V.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casarano have won more games recently than Cosenza.
- Casarano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Casarano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Casarano, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 13%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cosenza | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Casarano vs Cosenza
0:0
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cosenza vs Casarano
1:5
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Cosenza
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Casarano
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cosenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Leonetti V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Versienti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cosenza 22 / 100
Casarano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cosenza Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casarano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Cosenza's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Cosenza stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cosenza VS Casarano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cosenza
(Home) 04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2 Foggia
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Cosenza
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1 Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2 Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0 Cavese
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2 Foggia
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1 Scafatese
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0 Cavese
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2 Potenza
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0 Morrone
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Casarano
(Away) 03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0 Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0 Casarano
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
