Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cosenza vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ciotti P.
31'
Palmieri R.
34'
Romeo F.

AI Match Summary

Cosenza in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cosenza
30%
Draws
47%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Foggia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Foggia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 22%
Foggia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosenza Foggia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.21 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Foggia
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Cosenza
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Cosenza vs Foggia
2:0
Mar 1, 2019 Serie B
Foggia vs Cosenza
1:0
Oct 20, 2018 Serie B
Cosenza vs Foggia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciotti P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosenza 24 / 100
Foggia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosenza Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Cosenza's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Foggia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cosenza VS Foggia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosenza

(Home)
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

Foggia

(Away)
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)