Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Amalfi vs Brindisi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Citro N.
55' Event
Hernaiz Daschner L.
63' Event
Mbakogu J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Costa Amalfi
20%
Draws
40%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Brindisi have won more games recently than Costa Amalfi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 10%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Brindisi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Brindisi
2:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Costa Amalfi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbakogu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Citro N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernaiz Daschner L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 34 / 100
Brindisi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brindisi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brindisi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Amalfi's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Amalfi VS Brindisi
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Amalfi

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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Brindisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1
Brindisi
04 May
Brindisi
0 : 0
Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)