Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Amalfi vs Matera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Maione V.
33' Event
Maione V.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Iovieno G.

AI Match Summary

Costa Amalfi in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Amalfi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Costa Amalfi
30%
Draws
47%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Matera have won more games recently than Costa Amalfi.
  • Matera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 16%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Matera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Matera
4:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Costa Amalfi
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iovieno G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Casiello R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Napolitano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 10 / 100
Matera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Matera conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Costa Amalfi found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Costa Amalfi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Amalfi VS Matera
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Amalfi

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)