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Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Aguero P.
Penalty Missed
56'
Diaz R.
59' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Costa Brava and Guillermo Brown finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Brava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Costa Brava
30%
Draws
31%
Guillermo Brown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Costa Brava's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Guillermo Brown have produced (0.77).
  • Win probability leans Costa Brava's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%
Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Brava Guillermo Brown
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Guillermo Brown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 50 / 100
Guillermo Brown 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Brava Guillermo Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guillermo Brown has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Costa Brava remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Costa Brava VS Guillermo Brown
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Brava

(Home)
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
Page 1 of 6

Guillermo Brown

(Away)
20 Sept
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0
Fundacion Amigos
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0
Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)