Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu

Costa Brava

2 - 1

San Martin Mendoza

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Aguero P.

(Penalty)

46'

Sub

Almeida J. In: Herensperger R.

Out: Almeida J.

46'

Sub

Rodriguez F. In: Mazzolo J.

Out: Rodriguez F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Costa Brava in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Brava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Costa Brava

33%

Draws

27%

San Martin Mendoza

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

San Martin Mendoza have won more games recently than Costa Brava.
Win probability leans Costa Brava's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%

San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Costa Brava	San Martin Mendoza
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	12	12
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal

Costa Brava vs San Martin Mendoza

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal

San Martin Mendoza vs Costa Brava

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal

Costa Brava vs San Martin Mendoza

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal

San Martin Mendoza vs Costa Brava

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

San Martin Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferro A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 50 / 100

San Martin Mendoza 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Costa Brava San Martin Mendoza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Costa Brava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Martin Mendoza has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Costa Brava VS San Martin Mendoza

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12