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Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira Prediction & H2H Stats

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Costa do Sol and Ferroviario Beira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Costa do Sol
20%
Draws
32%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Beira come out ahead of Costa do Sol on wins alone.
  • Costa do Sol are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ferroviario Beira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa do Sol Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 17, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
May 25, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa do Sol 42 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa do Sol Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa do Sol's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Costa do Sol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Beira has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Beira
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa do Sol

(Home)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)