Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2025

Costa do Sol

0 - 0

Ferroviario Nacala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Costa do Sol

20%

Draws

38%

Ferroviario Nacala

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ferroviario Nacala lately — more wins on the board than Costa do Sol.
Model gives Costa do Sol a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Costa do Sol	Ferroviario Nacala
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	11
Draws	13	9
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Aug 5, 2025 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Nov 5, 2023 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Jul 1, 2023 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

5:1

Oct 8, 2022 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa do Sol 42 / 100

Ferroviario Nacala 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Costa do Sol Ferroviario Nacala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Costa do Sol's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Costa do Sol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Nacala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Nacala

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25

25% Over 1.5 25%

13% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	22	18	3	1	50:13	57
2	Associacao Black Bulls	23	11	6	6	35:26	39
3	Ferroviario Beira	23	10	7	6	19:13	37
4	Ferroviario Lichinga	22	9	7	6	38:31	34
5	Ferroviario Maputo	23	7	12	4	25:18	33
6	Baia de Pemba	22	9	5	8	24:21	32
7	ENH Vilankulo	24	7	10	7	22:21	31
8	Costa do Sol	23	7	10	6	18:18	31
9	Ferroviario Nacala	23	8	7	8	16:17	31
10	Chingale de Tete	22	6	9	7	22:21	27
11	Ferroviario Nampula	22	6	8	8	21:29	26
12	Textafrica	23	4	8	11	15:30	20
13	Desportivo de Nacala	20	2	6	12	13:31	12
14	Desportivo Matola	22	2	4	16	11:40	10