Sport Picks
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa do Sol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Costa do Sol have won more games recently than Ferroviario Nampula.
- Costa do Sol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa do Sol | Ferroviario Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Costa do Sol
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Costa do Sol
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa do Sol 95 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa do Sol Ferroviario Nampula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Costa do Sol's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Ferroviario Nampula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.
Costa do Sol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Nampula
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa do Sol
(Home) 19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2 Costa do Sol
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Nampula
(Away) 13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
