Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa do Sol vs Sofala

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa do Sol in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Costa do Sol
15%
Draws
26%
Sofala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Costa do Sol lately — more wins on the board than Sofala.
  • Win probability leans Costa do Sol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%
Sofala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa do Sol Sofala
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.11 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Sofala
1:0
May 20, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Costa do Sol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa do Sol 95 / 100
Sofala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa do Sol Sofala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa do Sol found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Costa do Sol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sofala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa do Sol VS Sofala
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa do Sol

(Home)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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Sofala

(Away)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
3 Ferroviario Beira 16 8 7 1 21:9 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 16 8 4 4 19:18 28
5 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 15 7 3 5 13:13 24
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 16 4 7 5 9:10 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
12 ENH Vilankulo 15 2 8 5 16:16 14
13 Maxaquene 16 1 7 8 7:17 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)