Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica U20 vs El Salvador U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica U20 play El Salvador U20 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Costa Rica U20 averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. El Salvador U20 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Costa Rica U20 won 1, El Salvador U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.53 for Costa Rica U20 and 1.91 for El Salvador U20. This points to a El Salvador U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Costa Rica U20
24%
Draws
44%
El Salvador U20
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: El Salvador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa Rica U20 picked up more points recently compared to El Salvador U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.53 vs 1.91 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Costa Rica U20 Clean Sheet 10%
El Salvador U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U20 El Salvador U20
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.59 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 Friendly International
Costa Rica U20 vs El Salvador U20
1:0
Jul 2, 2024 Friendly International
Costa Rica U20 vs El Salvador U20
2:2
Feb 19, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U20
Costa Rica U20 vs El Salvador U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

El Salvador U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.21
Avg xA / game 1.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U20 31 / 100
El Salvador U20 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U20 El Salvador U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: El Salvador U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Costa Rica U20 attacking → ← attacking El Salvador U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica U20 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

El Salvador U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Costa Rica U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

El Salvador U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 44
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.43
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.57