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Stadium Background

Costa Rica U23 vs Colombia U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Madrigal W.
15' Event
Mosquera J.
31' Event
Cortes C.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica U23 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Rica U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Costa Rica U23
39%
Draws
31%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia U23 have won more games recently than Costa Rica U23.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Costa Rica U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Costa Rica U23 vs Colombia U23
3:2
Oct 15, 2023 Friendly International
Costa Rica U23 vs Colombia U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Madrigal W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Colombia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U23 41 / 100
Colombia U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U23 Colombia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Costa Rica U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica U23 VS Colombia U23
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%