Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica vs Belize

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
Costa Rica Logo

Costa Rica

6 - 1
FT
Belize Logo

Belize

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Arzu D.
Own Goal
6' Event
Bran Flores A. J.
Assist: Alcocer J.
8' Event
Martinez A.
Assist: Vargas K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-1. This leg finished 6-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Costa Rica
15%
Draws
85%
Belize
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belize

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Belize have won more games recently than Costa Rica.
  • Belize are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Belize arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Rica, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Costa Rica have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 14%
Belize Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Belize
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Belize
6:1
Mar 22, 2025 Gold Cup
Belize vs Costa Rica
0:7
Jan 15, 2017 Copa Centroamericana
Belize vs Costa Rica
0:3
Jul 13, 2013 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Belize
1:0
Jan 19, 2013 Copa Centroamericana
Costa Rica vs Belize
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Bran Flores A. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Belize Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 10 / 100
Belize 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Belize

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belize Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Belize's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Belize lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Belize
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5
Iran
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Belize

(Away)
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Costa Rica 13
Belize 1
Jamaica 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 1
Honduras 7
Bermuda 3
Guatemala 4
Guyana 3
Trinidad & Tobago 6
Cuba 1
Martinique 0
Suriname 2
Nicaragua 0
Guadeloupe 2