Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Urbaez J.
41'
Mora J.
44' Event
Ugalde M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica in this Gold Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Costa Rica
6%
Draws
90%
Dominican Republic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic have won more games recently than Costa Rica.
  • Model gives Dominican Republic a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Dominican Republic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Rica, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Dominican Republic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Aug 15, 2013 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Costa Rica
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcocer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbaez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 10 / 100
Dominican Republic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Dominican Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Costa Rica's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dominican Republic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Costa Rica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Dominican Republic
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5
Iran
27 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2
Costa Rica
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
Page 1 of 6

Dominican Republic

(Away)
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
27 Mar
Dominican Republic
2 : 2
El Salvador
18 Nov
Dominican Republic
0 : 0
Martinique
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico32105:27
2Costa Rica32106:47
3Dominican Republic30123:51
4Suriname30123:61
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada32109:17
2Honduras32014:76
3Curacao30212:32
4El Salvador30120:41
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama330010:39
2Guatemala32014:36
3Jamaica31023:63
4Guadeloupe30035:100
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA33008:19
2Saudi Arabia31112:24
3Trinidad & Tobago30212:72
4Haiti30122:41
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)