Sport Picks
Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic
North & Central America
Gold Cup AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX 
Match Events
16'
16'
Urbaez J.
41'
41'
Mora J.
44'
44'
Ugalde M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Dominican Republic have won more games recently than Costa Rica.
- Model gives Costa Rica a 36% chance of winning this.
- Dominican Republic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Costa Rica, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa Rica | Dominican Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2025 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Aug 15, 2013 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Costa Rica
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Costa Rica Compare
Top Goalscorer Alcocer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Dominican Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Urbaez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa Rica 34 / 100
Dominican Republic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa Rica Dominican Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Costa Rica's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Dominican Republic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Costa Rica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Costa Rica VS Dominican Republic
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa Rica
(Home) 05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0 Haiti
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Costa Rica
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0 Costa Rica
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4 Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0 Costa Rica
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0 Haiti
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4 Curacao
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5 Iran
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0 Honduras
14 Oct
Costa Rica
4 : 1 Nicaragua
Page 1 of 3
Dominican Republic
(Away) 05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4 Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
10 Oct
Uruguay
1 : 0 Dominican Republic
09 Sept
Jordan
3 : 0 Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Suriname | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Honduras | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
