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Costa Rica vs Dourados

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Costa Rica
44%
Draws
20%
Dourados
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dourados lately — more wins on the board than Costa Rica.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 18%
Dourados Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Dourados
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 14 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Dourados
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Dourados
2:2
Mar 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Costa Rica
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Dourados
0:0
Apr 10, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Costa Rica
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 36 / 100
Dourados 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Dourados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Dourados let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Costa Rica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Dourados
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
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Dourados

(Away)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)