Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica vs Naviraiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica Logo

Costa Rica

1 - 1
FT
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Costa Rica and Naviraiense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Costa Rica
35%
Draws
47%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naviraiense come out ahead of Costa Rica on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 19%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Naviraiense
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.09 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Naviraiense
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Naviraiense
2:2
Apr 24, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Naviraiense
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Costa Rica
0:0
Apr 5, 2015 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Naviraiense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 32 / 100
Naviraiense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Naviraiense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Costa Rica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Naviraiense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
Page 1 of 7

Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)