Sport Picks
Costa Rica vs Paraguay
South America
Copa América Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX 
Match Events
3'
3'
Calvo F.
Assist: Mora J.
7'
7'
Alcocer J.
Assist: Brenes J.
16'
16'
Alcocer J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraguay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paraguay come out ahead of Costa Rica on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Paraguay's way, sitting at 70%.
- Paraguay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Costa Rica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 15%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa Rica | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2024 Copa América
Costa Rica vs Paraguay
2:1
Jun 4, 2016 Copa América
Costa Rica vs Paraguay
0:0
Mar 27, 2015 Friendly International
Costa Rica vs Paraguay
0:0
Mar 6, 2014 Friendly International
Costa Rica vs Paraguay
2:1
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
Paraguay vs Costa Rica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Costa Rica Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alcocer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Paraguay Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosa R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa Rica 15 / 100
Paraguay 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa Rica Paraguay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paraguay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Costa Rica scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Paraguay let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Costa Rica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Costa Rica VS Paraguay
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa Rica
(Home) 10 Jun
England
3 : 0 Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1 Costa Rica
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5 Iran
27 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Costa Rica
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0 Honduras
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5 Iran
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0 Honduras
14 Oct
Costa Rica
4 : 1 Nicaragua
10 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 3 Haiti
18 Jun
Costa Rica
2 : 1 Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 3
Paraguay
(Away) 04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1 France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2 Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1 Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
Page 1 of 6
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2 Paraguay
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1 Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
31 Mar
Morocco
2 : 1 Paraguay
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1 Paraguay
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
