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Costa Rica W vs New Zealand W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Chinchilla P.
45' Event
Riley I.
46'
Sub
Blake H. In: Neville G.
Out: Blake H.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Costa Rica W and New Zealand W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Costa Rica W
6%
Draws
4%
New Zealand W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Costa Rica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Costa Rica W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 68%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W New Zealand W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 4.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs New Zealand W
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs New Zealand W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinchilla P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

New Zealand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Riley I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 95 / 100
New Zealand W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W New Zealand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Costa Rica W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica W VS New Zealand W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
11 Apr
Costa Rica W
21 : 0
Cayman Islands W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
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New Zealand W

(Away)
09 Jun
New Zealand W
0 : 0
Morocco W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
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