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Cotillas CD vs Bala Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Perea Garcia P.
23' Event
Blaya J.
50' Event
Cortes F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Cotillas CD and Bala Azul finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cotillas CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cotillas CD
30%
Draws
29%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cotillas CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bala Azul come out ahead of Cotillas CD on wins alone.
  • Cotillas CD are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cotillas CD Clean Sheet 16%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cotillas CD Bala Azul
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 12
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cotillas CD vs Bala Azul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cotillas CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea Garcia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blaya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bala Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cotillas CD 41 / 100
Bala Azul 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cotillas CD Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cotillas CD found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: Bala Azul conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cotillas CD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cotillas CD VS Bala Azul
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cotillas CD

(Home)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD

Bala Azul

(Away)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)