Sport Picks
Cotinguiba vs Santa Cruz SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Sergipano 2 2024 
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Cotinguiba and Santa Cruz SE finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz SE.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz SE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Cotinguiba haven't matched Santa Cruz SE's recent run of results.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Cotinguiba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cotinguiba Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cotinguiba | Santa Cruz SE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2024 Sergipano 2
Cotinguiba vs Santa Cruz SE
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Cotinguiba
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cotinguiba 66 / 100
Santa Cruz SE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cotinguiba Santa Cruz SE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cotinguiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Cruz SE let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Santa Cruz SE lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Cotinguiba scored in 38% of their last 8 games.
Scoring Trends
Cotinguiba VS Santa Cruz SE
1.17 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cotinguiba
(Home) 09 Oct
Barra SE
2 : 0 Cotinguiba
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
25 Sept
Socorrense
0 : 0 Cotinguiba
21 Sept
Cotinguiba
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
14 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 1 Cotinguiba
Page 1 of 2
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
21 Sept
Cotinguiba
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
09 Sept
Cotinguiba
4 : 0 Socorrense
24 Aug
Cotinguiba
0 : 3 Barra SE
Santa Cruz SE
(Away) 19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Propria
Page 1 of 4
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz SE
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
27 Sept
Socorrense
5 : 1 Santa Cruz SE
17 Sept
Coritiba SE
1 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3 Santa Cruz SE
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
