Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cottbus II vs Erfurt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Cottbus II Logo

Cottbus II

2 - 2
FT
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 game between Cottbus II and Erfurt II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cottbus II
15%
Draws
51%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cottbus II come out ahead of Erfurt II on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cottbus II Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cottbus II Erfurt II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Cottbus II vs Erfurt II
2:2
Oct 4, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Cottbus II
1:3
Mar 15, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Cottbus II vs Erfurt II
3:1
Aug 24, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Cottbus II
6:0
Mar 23, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Cottbus II vs Erfurt II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cottbus II 34 / 100
Erfurt II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cottbus II Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cottbus II scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Erfurt II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Erfurt II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cottbus II VS Erfurt II
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cottbus II

(Home)
12 Jun
Wismut Gera
3 : 1
Cottbus II
05 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 1
Inter Leipzig
21 May
Cottbus II
3 : 4
Markranstadt
15 May
Barleben
5 : 1
Cottbus II
08 May
Cottbus II
2 : 1
Halle
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 22 8 0 78:14 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 19 6 5 71:29 63
3 Bischofswerdaer 30 16 9 5 60:31 57
4 Jena II 30 14 7 9 72:42 49
5 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 9 9 46:34 45
6 Halle 30 12 7 11 60:50 43
7 Sandersdorf 30 12 7 11 48:48 43
8 Markranstadt 30 11 8 11 49:48 41
9 Barleben 30 11 7 12 52:47 40
10 Cottbus II 30 12 4 14 56:66 40
11 Bernburg 30 10 8 12 43:45 38
12 Plauen 30 10 7 13 47:66 37
13 Erfurt II 30 9 7 14 49:65 34
14 Schott Jena 30 10 4 16 43:68 34
15 Wismut Gera 30 5 6 19 30:66 21
16 Eisenach 30 2 2 26 17:102 8
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)