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Covadonga vs Gijon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sancho A.
Own Goal
37' Event
Arias A.
39' Event
Alvarez V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Covadonga and Gijon B finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Covadonga
44%
Draws
20%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gijon B haven't matched Covadonga's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 15%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga Gijon B
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 3 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon B
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
1:1
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon B
0:1
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Gijon B Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 35 / 100
Gijon B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Gijon B conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Covadonga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Gijon B
3 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Covadonga
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
09 May
Covadonga
0 : 2
Real Titanico
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Gijon B

(Away)
24 May
Gijon B
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
17 May
Caudal Deportivo
0 : 0
Gijon B
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0
EI San Martin
26 Apr
Covadonga
5 : 0
Gijon B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)