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Covadonga vs Gijon B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sancho A.
Own Goal
37' Event
Arias A.
39' Event
Alvarez V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Covadonga and Gijon B finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Covadonga
20%
Draws
48%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Covadonga haven't matched Gijon B's recent run of results.
  • Covadonga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 13%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga Gijon B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.57 2.16
Goals Conceded 1 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon B
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
1:1
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon B
0:1
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Covadonga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gijon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 35 / 100
Gijon B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Covadonga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Gijon B has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Gijon B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0
Covadonga
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Gijon B

(Away)
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)