Sport Picks
Covadonga vs Gijon Industrial
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Montes Doamo A.
12'
12'
Montes Doamo A.
34'
34'
Cueto G.
AI Match Summary
Covadonga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Covadonga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Covadonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Gijon Industrial haven't matched Covadonga's recent run of results.
- Model gives Covadonga a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Covadonga have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 68%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Covadonga | Gijon Industrial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.58 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon Industrial
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
1:3
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon Industrial
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Covadonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Montes Doamo A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cueto G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Gijon Industrial Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Covadonga 95 / 100
Gijon Industrial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Covadonga Gijon Industrial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Covadonga found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Gijon Industrial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Covadonga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Covadonga VS Gijon Industrial
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Covadonga
(Home) 26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2 Covadonga
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4 Caudal Deportivo
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1 CD Mosconia
09 May
Covadonga
0 : 2 Real Titanico
Page 1 of 3
Gijon Industrial
(Away) 20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0 Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0 Gijon Industrial
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 Gijon Industrial
03 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0 Gijon Industrial
19 Apr
Caudal Deportivo
4 : 1 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
