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Cove Rangers vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Idowu R.
(Penalty)
33'
Sub
John D. In: Fieldson H.
Out: John D.
42' Event
Ramos S.
Assist: Phillips K.

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren in this League Cup tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cove Rangers
6%
Draws
90%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cove Rangers haven't matched St. Mirren's recent run of results.
  • St. Mirren are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • St. Mirren arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Mirren, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers St. Mirren
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Cove Rangers vs St. Mirren
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cove Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 10 / 100
St. Mirren 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cove Rangers scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

St. Mirren let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Cove Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cove Rangers VS St. Mirren
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cove Rangers

(Home)
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
14 Jul
Cove Rangers
3 : 2
East Kilbride
11 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 4
St Johnstone
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4
Inverness
04 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 2
Huntly
Page 1 of 6

St. Mirren

(Away)
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
27 Jun
Arbroath
2 : 4
St. Mirren
25 May
St. Mirren
1 : 0
Partick
21 May
Partick
1 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen's Park22005:16
2Aberdeen11002:03
3Kelty Hearts21011:32
4Queen of the South10011:11
5Brora Rangers20021:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stirling21013:23
2Arbroath11002:13
3Montrose11001:03
4Dundee Utd21011:13
5Spartans20022:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren11004:03
2East Kilbride21015:33
3Cove Rangers11003:23
4Dunfermline21014:43
5Dumbarton20021:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee FC22009:26
2Ross County11004:13
3Clyde11001:03
4Airdrieonians20022:50
5Annan20021:90
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick220010:06
2Livingston11002:03
3Stenhousemuir11002:03
4Forfar Athletic20020:60
5Brechin20020:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Fife21013:14
2St Johnstone11002:03
3Linlithgow Rose21011:23
4Inverness11001:12
5Morton20020:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr22004:26
2Falkirk21015:13
3Edinburgh City21012:53
4Stranraer10012:30
5Alloa10010:20
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith21013:14
2Peterhead21013:23
3Hamilton11001:03
4Kilmarnock11000:02
5Elgin City20022:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams