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Cove Rangers vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Devine D. In: McGrath J.
Out: Devine D.
31' Event
Lindo A.
40'
O'Donnell C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Cove Rangers and Alloa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cove Rangers
15%
Draws
34%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cove Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cove Rangers a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers Alloa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Alloa
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Alloa
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Cove Rangers
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Alloa
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Cove Rangers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 57 / 100
Alloa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cove Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cove Rangers's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alloa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Alloa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cove Rangers VS Alloa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cove Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)