Sport Picks
Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen 
Match Events
24'
24'
Campbell C.
25'
25'
White J.
Assist: Oppong E.
39'
39'
Oladipo D.
Assist: White J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-1. This leg finished 6-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Cove Rangers have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Cove Rangers taking it.
- Cove Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cove Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cove Rangers have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 13%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cove Rangers | Dumbarton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton
6:1
Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 League One
Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 League One
Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cove Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer White J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Oladipo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cove Rangers 84 / 100
Dumbarton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cove Rangers Dumbarton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cove Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dumbarton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Cove Rangers found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Cove Rangers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cove Rangers VS Dumbarton
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cove Rangers
(Home) 03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3 Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5 Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2 Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2 Ross County
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1 Dumbarton
05 Sept
Cove Rangers
1 : 1 Alloa
25 Aug
Cove Rangers
2 : 0 Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4
Dumbarton
(Away) 03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1 Dumbarton
29 Aug
Annan
2 : 0 Dumbarton
22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1 Dumbarton
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
