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Coventry vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coventry host Newcastle Utd in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Coventry have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.61 scored and 1.94 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2010, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward Coventry. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Coventry
15%
Draws
65%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Coventry have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Newcastle Utd have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Coventry Clean Sheet 13%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coventry Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2010 Championship
Newcastle Utd vs Coventry
4:1
Dec 9, 2009 Championship
Coventry vs Newcastle Utd
0:2
Aug 26, 2008 EFL Cup
Coventry vs Newcastle Utd
2:3
Jan 29, 2005 FA Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Coventry
3:1
Jan 13, 2001 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Coventry
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coventry 22 / 100
Newcastle Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coventry Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Coventry scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Coventry went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coventry VS Newcastle Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coventry

(Home)
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5
Brighton
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0
Coventry
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull City
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4
Coventry
21 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0
Coventry
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Newcastle Utd

(Away)
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2
West Brom
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
3 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
4 Hull City 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Brighton 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
6 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
7 Brentford 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
8 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Everton 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
10 Ipswich 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
11 Nottingham 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Newcastle Utd 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6:7 3
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
17 Tottenham 4 0 2 2 0:5 2
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
20 Coventry 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)