Sport Picks
Covilha vs Atletico CP
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio José Santos Pinto, Covilhã 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Brito P. In: Silva M.
Out: Brito P.
46'
46'
Sub
Pimenta T. In: Ferreira R.
Out: Pimenta T.
61'
61'
Silva M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico CP have won more games recently than Covilha.
- Atletico CP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Covilha Clean Sheet 22%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Covilha | Atletico CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Covilha
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Covilha
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Covilha 10 / 100
Atletico CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Covilha Atletico CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Covilha found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Atletico CP has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Covilha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Covilha VS Atletico CP
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Covilha
(Home) 12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
08 Aug
Covilha
2 : 0 Santarem
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1 Amora
12 Apr
Covilha
2 : 1 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 4
Atletico CP
(Away) 13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
15 Aug
Atletico CP
1 : 1 Mafra
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1 Atletico CP
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
