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Coxim vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fernandinho
36' Event
Lyncon F.
43' Event
Taygor Goncalves

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Coxim and Aquidauanense finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Coxim
15%
Draws
58%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aquidauanense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aquidauanense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aquidauanense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Coxim Clean Sheet 17%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Aquidauanense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Aquidauanense
0:4
Feb 26, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Coxim
5:1
Feb 6, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Aquidauanense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Taygor Goncalves
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 12 / 100
Aquidauanense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aquidauanense let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Coxim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Coxim scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS Aquidauanense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 3.38
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)