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Coxim vs Nautico MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zambrano F.
17' Event
Baesso J.
58' Event
Baesso J.

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Coxim and Nautico MS finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coxim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Coxim
15%
Draws
0%
Nautico MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coxim come out ahead of Nautico MS on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coxim a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Coxim Clean Sheet 18%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Nautico MS
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.87 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Coxim
1:3
Feb 4, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Nautico MS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Baesso J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zambrano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Nautico MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 85 / 100
Nautico MS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Nautico MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coxim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nautico MS lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Coxim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS Nautico MS
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

Nautico MS

(Away)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)