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Coxim vs Naviraiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Marquinhos Baiano
87' Event
Gustavo Henrique

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naviraiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Coxim
30%
Draws
37%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Coxim haven't matched Naviraiense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naviraiense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Coxim Clean Sheet 20%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Naviraiense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Naviraiense
0:2
Mar 2, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Naviraiense
2:0
Feb 10, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Coxim
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Naviraiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquinhos Baiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 36 / 100
Naviraiense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Naviraiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Coxim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Coxim scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS Naviraiense
1.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)