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Coxim vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
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Match Events

10' Event
Cleiton
49' Event
Caio Vidal
76' Event
Junior Fell

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coxim
15%
Draws
39%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Coxim haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Operario MS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coxim Clean Sheet 19%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Operario MS
Matches Played 30 51
Wins 7 28
Draws 6 15
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
0:1
Feb 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
2:2
Jan 25, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Coxim
2:0
Mar 9, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Coxim
3:0
Feb 8, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Vidal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior Fell
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 32 / 100
Operario MS 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS has conceded goals in 63% of their last 51 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Coxim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Operario MS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 11

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)