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CP Almeria vs Jaen

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Espin J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between CP Almeria and Jaen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CP Almeria
20%
Draws
73%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CP Almeria haven't matched Jaen's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Jaen taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Jaen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CP Almeria Jaen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 23
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Jaen
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs CP Almeria
6:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs CP Almeria
2:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Jaen
1:3
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Jaen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CP Almeria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Espin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CP Almeria 10 / 100
Jaen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CP Almeria Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CP Almeria scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Jaen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

CP Almeria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaen
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CP Almeria

(Home)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)