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CR Flamengo W vs Gremio W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Leidiane
23' Event
Mariana
45'
Dani Barao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CR Flamengo W
30%
Draws
37%
Gremio W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio W lately — more wins on the board than CR Flamengo W.
  • Gremio W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Gremio W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Gremio W
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs CR Flamengo W
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Gremio W
1:1
Apr 17, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs CR Flamengo W
0:1
May 29, 2022 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Gremio W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernanda
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gremio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidiane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 10 / 100
Gremio W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Gremio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: CR Flamengo W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Gremio W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CR Flamengo W

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
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Gremio W

(Away)
03 Oct
Gremio W
0 : 0
Internacional W
27 Sept
Gremio W
13 : 0
Forquetense W
20 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha W
0 : 3
Gremio W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)