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CR Flamengo W vs Perolas Negras W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vitoria Almeida
34' Event
Mariana
67' Event
Jucinara

AI Match Summary

The Carioca Women game between CR Flamengo W and Perolas Negras W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CR Flamengo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CR Flamengo W
11%
Draws
9%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W haven't matched CR Flamengo W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CR Flamengo W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CR Flamengo W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 20%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Carioca Women
CR Flamengo W vs Perolas Negras W
4:0
Mar 19, 2025 Copa Rio Women
CR Flamengo W vs Perolas Negras W
5:0
Feb 26, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Perolas Negras W vs CR Flamengo W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariana
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vitoria Almeida
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Perolas Negras W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 76 / 100
Perolas Negras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Perolas Negras W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Perolas Negras W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

CR Flamengo W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Perolas Negras W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CR Flamengo W761057:319
2Fluminense W751140:416
3Botafogo RJ W742155:514
4Vasco W741237:1013
5Perolas Negras W731317:1110
6Heips W720511:346
7EC Resende W71068:783
8Buzios W70071:810