Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Mon, Aug 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cracovia host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cracovia have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Pogon Szczecin's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Pogon Szczecin slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring Pogon Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cracovia
17%
Draws
13%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cracovia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cracovia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 16%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 16 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia
2:1
Mar 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia
5:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia 66 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia Pogon Szczecin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Cracovia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Pogon Szczecin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Cracovia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia VS Pogon Szczecin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jagiellonia00000:00
2Gornik Zabrze00000:00
3Korona Kielce00000:00
4Piast Gliwice00000:00
5GKS Katowice00000:00
6Motor Lublin00000:00
7Slask Wroclaw00000:00
8Wisla Plock00000:00
9Pogon Szczecin00000:00
10Wisla00000:00
11Legia00000:00
12Lech Poznan00000:00
13Zaglebie00000:00
14Cracovia00000:00
15Widzew Lodz00000:00
16Radomiak Radom00000:00
17Rakow Czestochowa00000:00
18KS Wieczysta Krakow00000:00