Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cracovia vs Korona Kielce

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Svetlin T.
Assist: Remacle M.
6' Event
Zahiroleslam K.
Assist: Hasic A.
32'
Sub
Blanik D. In: Davidovic S.
Out: Blanik D.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Cracovia and Korona Kielce finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cracovia
33%
Draws
27%
Korona Kielce
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cracovia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cracovia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 68%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia Korona Kielce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 15 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Cracovia
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Cracovia vs Korona Kielce
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Cracovia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cracovia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahiroleslam K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Svetlin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia 50 / 100
Korona Kielce 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cracovia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Korona Kielce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cracovia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia VS Korona Kielce
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cracovia

(Home)
19 Jul
Cracovia
1 : 0
Sevilla
09 Jul
Cracovia
2 : 0
FK Pardubice
06 Jul
Cracovia
3 : 1
Basaksehir
03 Jul
Cracovia
1 : 2
Pafos
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce

(Away)
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
04 Jul
Korona Kielce
4 : 0
Michalovce
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)