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Stadium Background

Cracovia vs Rakow Czestochowa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Makuch P.
Assist: Emreli M.
53'
Debohi D. G.
56' Event
Hasic A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Cracovia and Rakow Czestochowa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cracovia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cracovia
15%
Draws
57%
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rakow Czestochowa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 10%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia Rakow Czestochowa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Rakow Czestochowa
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia
4:1
Oct 29, 2025 Polish Cup
Rakow Czestochowa vs Cracovia
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Rakow Czestochowa
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cracovia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pila D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Makuch P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia 30 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia Rakow Czestochowa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cracovia's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rakow Czestochowa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Rakow Czestochowa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia VS Rakow Czestochowa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cracovia

(Home)
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1
Zaglebie
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
06 Sept
Cracovia
0 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6

Rakow Czestochowa

(Away)
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4
GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
14 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
17 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)