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Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Santos R.
63' Event
Cicero
Own Goal
68' Event
Fernandes de Araujo M.

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Juazeiro in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani de Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Crato
20%
Draws
47%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crato lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Crato Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crato Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:2
Feb 18, 2014 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes de Araujo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crato 41 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crato Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crato's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guarani de Juazeiro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crato remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crato VS Guarani de Juazeiro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crato

(Home)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)