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Crato vs Terra e Mar

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Marcus Vinicius
38' Event
Keliton
90' Event
Joao Lucas

AI Match Summary

Terra e Mar in this Cearense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Terra e Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Crato
15%
Draws
39%
Terra e Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crato lately — more wins on the board than Terra e Mar.
  • Crato are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Crato Clean Sheet 20%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crato Terra e Mar
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 14 3
Draws 8 0
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Cearense 3
Crato vs Terra e Mar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Terra e Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Keliton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crato 58 / 100
Terra e Mar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crato Terra e Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terra e Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Crato's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Crato has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crato VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crato

(Home)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 7

Terra e Mar

(Away)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)