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Crawley Town vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crawley Town host Chesterfield in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chesterfield have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Crawley Town have conceded 1.39 and scored 0.96. Past meetings favor Chesterfield slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.06) point toward Chesterfield. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Crawley Town
15%
Draws
68%
Chesterfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesterfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Crawley Town haven't matched Chesterfield's recent run of results.
  • Chesterfield are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Chesterfield
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crawley Town
2:2
Feb 3, 2018 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crawley Town
1:2
Oct 17, 2017 League Two
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield
0:2
Jan 27, 2015 League One
Chesterfield vs Crawley Town
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 10 / 100
Chesterfield 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Chesterfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chesterfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Crawley Town found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Crawley Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Chesterfield
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Chesterfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2
Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)